The recent delimitation exercise has completely changed political map of the six parliamentary constituencies of Mumbai. The delimitation exercise has resulted in a significant reshuffling of boundaries in such a way that for all political parties the re-drawn constituencies have become like new territories, compelling them to make new calculations based on the altered profiles of voters. For instance, Mumbai South now includes Worli and Sewri, which means a huge chunk of Maharashtrian voters added to it. While it is a truism that it would be a mistake to categorize the voter on the basis of region, religion and community, the changed demographic profile of the Mumbai city’s constituencies is sure to jolt candidates of all parties from their earlier comfort zones. This new political landscape has become favorite ground for political pundits and psechologists to test their skills at predicting the outcome of the contest in these six constituencies which have become wide open after delimitation. I am also attempting here the similar exercise. My predictions below are not so much based on strength of communities in a particular constituency as on candidates, issues, voting pattern and organizational capabilities of political parties.
In Mumbai South, the main battle is between Congress’s Milind Deora and Shiv Sena’s Mohan Rawale. The other two contenders – Bala Nandgoankar of MNS and Haji Mohammed Ali Shaikh of BSP – will eat into Congress’ and Shiv Sena’s votes and balance the scale on an even keel again. This constituency has two added areas of Sewri and Worli which are completely new for Milind Deora. For Mohan Rawale, much of his stronghold areas have got scattered to different constituencies. He therefore chose South Mumbai because it now has two of his major stronghold areas – Worli and Sewri. For him Malabar Hill and Colaba are uncharted territories and cause for his worries. However, there is one factor in his favor. The voters in upscale localities of Malabar Hill and Colaba are infamous for their lethargy towards voting whereas voters in Worli and Sewri have always turned out in comparatively larger numbers than the upscale localities mentioned above. This fact can tilt balance in favor of Mohan Rawale. Whatever he may have to say, the apathy of voters in Milind Deora’s stronghold areas is perhaps a major- or only- reason why Mukund Deora, Milind Deora’s brother, has decided to make a short film featuring many Bollywood celebrities, which will exhort people to exercise their fundamental duties to come out and vote. But if the voters from Malabar Hill, Colaba and other upscale areas don’t turn out to vote in large numbers and given the greater density of voters in Sewri and Worli, Mohan Rawale of Shiv Sena has a clear edge. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai South – Mohan Rawale of Shiv Sena.
Mumbai South-Central is pretty easy to predict. Eknath Gaikwad, a Congress Dalit candidate had won from the same constituency in the last Lok Sabha (General) election. Shiv Sena has fielded a surprise new face in Suresh Gambhir, an MLA from Mahim, because the party’s veteran leader, Manohar Joshi, who represented this constituency earlier, has decided not contest this time. Given the fact that the constituency comprises wider areas beyond Mahim, such as Wadala, Koliwada, Dharavi, Chembur, and Anushakti Nagar, which are well nurtured by Eknath Gaikwad and has a large chunk of dalit voters who are known to vote in block and the factor that Shweta Parulekar of MNS will only serve to weaken already weak Shiv Sena nomination, Suresh Gambhir has all but lost the election even before the ‘start’ gun is fired. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai South-Central – Eknath Gaikwad of Congress.
Mumbai North comprises Malad West, Charkop, Kandivali East, Magathane, Dahisar and Borivli, the areas dominated mainly by Maharashtrians, Gujaratis and North Indians. Ram Naik is BJP’s candidate here. He is a veteran leader who has won five times from this constituency before and has been actively working in the constituency to solidify his chances ever since his defeat in the last general election against actor-turned-politician Govinda. Govinda has not kept up with the voters after his victory and is seen by voters as their horrible mistake. Congress is yet to nominate its candidate. It is reportedly undecided among Sanjay Nirupam - who is keen to contest from here but Congress wants him to run from North-West - K.D.Vora, P.U. Mehta and Chandrakant Gosalia. In the unlikely event if Congress nominates Govinda, it may well wash its hands off from the constituency. But if it is Sanjay Nirupam, he will be a tough competition for Ram Naik and may emerge a marginal winner, given his own organizational skills and grassroots reach. If it is one of the other three – Vora, Mehta or Gosalia – Ram Naik will sail through on the strength of his popularity vis-à-vis Vora, Mehta and Gosalia. Among candidates of other parties, Shirish Parkar of MNS will cause damage to Ram Naik only if Sanjay Nirupam is contesting and BSP’s Lakhmendra Khurana, although popular in the north Indian community, will not matter much for either the Congress or the BJP. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North- Sanjay Nirupam of Congress or Ram Naik of BJP (if Sanjay Nirupam is not fielded from this constituency.)
Mumbai North-East will see an interesting battle between two principal opponents, BJP’s Kirit Somaiya and NCP’s Sanjay Dina Patil. It appears prima facie that Kirit Somaiya has an apparent edge because he has been for a long time the face of this constituency comprising Mankhurd-Shivajinagar, Ghatkopar East, Ghatkopar West, Vikhroli, Bhandup and Mulund. But it would be a mistake underestimating Sanjay Dina Patil. The son of the late MLA Dina Bama Patil, Sanjay Patil, an NCP MLA, is a powerful politician hailing from a rich family of landlords and has excellent rapport among workers and leaders across all political parties. Being the former president of the National Students Union of India (the NSUI) and the current head of the NCP’s youth wing, he can easily mobilize grassroots cadres to rally around him from both the NSUI of Congress and the youth wing of NCP. Since this constituency is part of the seat-sharing agreement between the Congress and the NCP, it would not be difficult to bring both the forces together to work hard for Patil, since there is no Congress candidate contesting. Add to it the fact that since this is the only seat where the NCP would be contesting in the city, the party will throw its full weight behind to ensure the victory of its candidate. Kirit Somaiya will also suffer from those disenchanted cadres of the BJP who wanted Poonam Mahajan, the daughter of the late Pramod Mahajan to be nominated from this constituency. This group might work against the interests of Kirit Somaiya. Also, Shishir Shinde of MNS will make prospects even more difficult for Somaiya by cutting in the vote bank of the BJP, while Ashok Singh of BSP has no standing in this constituency.
My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North-East - Sanjay Dina Patil of NCP.
Mumbai North-West has the Congress in a quandary. Gurudas Kamat, the party’s choice, has backed out and Kripashankar Singh, another strong contender for this constituency, also not interested. That leaves Congress with only Sanjay Nirupam. But he is keen to contest from Mumbai North. If the party prevails and asks Sanjay Nirupam to contest from this constituency, the Congress knows it might well say good-bye to their prospects in the Mumbai North Constituency. If on the other hand, the Congress decides to field a candidate outside of the three veterans mentioned above, the battle will be drawn mainly between Gajanan Kirtikar of Shiv Sena and Abu Asim Azmi of the Samajwadi Party (SP). The Mumbai North-West, which now includes Andheri West, Andheri East, Versova, Goregaon, Dindoshi and Jogeshwari East, is one of the constituencies of the city which has become wide open after the delimitation exercise. In its 2004 version, it was traditional Congress constituency. But now it is a virgin territory again. However, from its current demographic configuration and assembly segments within it, the Shiv Sena appears to have an edge. The party with strong candidate and enthusiastic cadre base is most likely to win. Gajanan Kirtikar is popular with locals here. If the Congress fields a non-descript candidate from here and Congress workers covertly work for Abu Asim Azmi, it will be a close call between Azmi and Kirtikar, with the later having a marginal edge. If the Congress fields Sanjay Nirupam or get either Gurudas Kamat or Kripashankar Singh to agree to contest from this constituency, then Congress will emerge as the winner. But there are lots of ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ and, therefore, my verdict is also like that for Mumbai North-West. Sanjay Nirupam or Kripashankar Singh or Gurudas Kamat of Congress or Gajanan Kirtikar of Shiv Sena if the Congress fields a candidate other than the three of their leaders mentioned above. Or, it could be Abu Azmi by a small margin.
Mumbai North-Central that represents Bandra West, Bandra East, Kalina, Kurla, Chandivali and Vile Parle will see a most easy and predictable battle. The sitting MP Priya Dutt of Congress will face no difficulty against whosoever is the BJP candidate – which is yet undecided – because she has a strong support from powerful Congress MLAs from her parliamentary constituency like Baba Siddiqui, Naseem Khan, Nawab Malik, Ashok Jadhav and Kripashankar Singh. Shilpa Shirodkar of MNS will only help the Congress’ cause further by complicating situation for the BJP candidate. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North-Central- Priya Dutt of Congress.
The above analysis is based on candidates who are in the field as of now. At the end of it all, other things being equal, Mumbai is likely to send the following representatives to the 15th Lok Sabha.
Mumbai South - Mohan Rawale (Shiv Sena)
Mumbai South-Central - Eknath Gaikwad (Congress)
Mumbai North- Sanjay Nirupam (Congress) or Ram Naik* (BJP)
(*if Sanjay Nirupam is not contesting from this constituency)
Mumbai North-East – Sanjay Dina Patil (NCP)
Mumbai North-West – Sanjay Nirupam (Congress) or Gajanan Kirtikar* (Shiv Sena) **
(*If Sanjay Nirupam or Kripashanker Singh or Gurudas Kamat not contesting from this constituency. ** Dark Horse – Abu Azmi (SP)
Mumbai North-Central – Priya Dutt (Congress)
And a last rider: The voter is ultimately supreme and more often than not, is unpredictable. So it is possible that like most poll predictions, mine may prove to be off the mark too. In that event, I will come back with explanation, like most pundits do, why it was so.
But don’t forget one thing: Go out and vote on the day voting is taking place in your area. In Mumbai, it is on Thursday, April 30. You can see the all-India schedule in the following link:
http://eci.nic.in/StatisticalReports/LS_2004/Vol_I_LS_2004.pdf
VOTING IS NOT JUST YOUR RIGHT; IT IS YOUR MOST SACRED DUTY
In Mumbai South, the main battle is between Congress’s Milind Deora and Shiv Sena’s Mohan Rawale. The other two contenders – Bala Nandgoankar of MNS and Haji Mohammed Ali Shaikh of BSP – will eat into Congress’ and Shiv Sena’s votes and balance the scale on an even keel again. This constituency has two added areas of Sewri and Worli which are completely new for Milind Deora. For Mohan Rawale, much of his stronghold areas have got scattered to different constituencies. He therefore chose South Mumbai because it now has two of his major stronghold areas – Worli and Sewri. For him Malabar Hill and Colaba are uncharted territories and cause for his worries. However, there is one factor in his favor. The voters in upscale localities of Malabar Hill and Colaba are infamous for their lethargy towards voting whereas voters in Worli and Sewri have always turned out in comparatively larger numbers than the upscale localities mentioned above. This fact can tilt balance in favor of Mohan Rawale. Whatever he may have to say, the apathy of voters in Milind Deora’s stronghold areas is perhaps a major- or only- reason why Mukund Deora, Milind Deora’s brother, has decided to make a short film featuring many Bollywood celebrities, which will exhort people to exercise their fundamental duties to come out and vote. But if the voters from Malabar Hill, Colaba and other upscale areas don’t turn out to vote in large numbers and given the greater density of voters in Sewri and Worli, Mohan Rawale of Shiv Sena has a clear edge. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai South – Mohan Rawale of Shiv Sena.
Mumbai South-Central is pretty easy to predict. Eknath Gaikwad, a Congress Dalit candidate had won from the same constituency in the last Lok Sabha (General) election. Shiv Sena has fielded a surprise new face in Suresh Gambhir, an MLA from Mahim, because the party’s veteran leader, Manohar Joshi, who represented this constituency earlier, has decided not contest this time. Given the fact that the constituency comprises wider areas beyond Mahim, such as Wadala, Koliwada, Dharavi, Chembur, and Anushakti Nagar, which are well nurtured by Eknath Gaikwad and has a large chunk of dalit voters who are known to vote in block and the factor that Shweta Parulekar of MNS will only serve to weaken already weak Shiv Sena nomination, Suresh Gambhir has all but lost the election even before the ‘start’ gun is fired. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai South-Central – Eknath Gaikwad of Congress.
Mumbai North comprises Malad West, Charkop, Kandivali East, Magathane, Dahisar and Borivli, the areas dominated mainly by Maharashtrians, Gujaratis and North Indians. Ram Naik is BJP’s candidate here. He is a veteran leader who has won five times from this constituency before and has been actively working in the constituency to solidify his chances ever since his defeat in the last general election against actor-turned-politician Govinda. Govinda has not kept up with the voters after his victory and is seen by voters as their horrible mistake. Congress is yet to nominate its candidate. It is reportedly undecided among Sanjay Nirupam - who is keen to contest from here but Congress wants him to run from North-West - K.D.Vora, P.U. Mehta and Chandrakant Gosalia. In the unlikely event if Congress nominates Govinda, it may well wash its hands off from the constituency. But if it is Sanjay Nirupam, he will be a tough competition for Ram Naik and may emerge a marginal winner, given his own organizational skills and grassroots reach. If it is one of the other three – Vora, Mehta or Gosalia – Ram Naik will sail through on the strength of his popularity vis-à-vis Vora, Mehta and Gosalia. Among candidates of other parties, Shirish Parkar of MNS will cause damage to Ram Naik only if Sanjay Nirupam is contesting and BSP’s Lakhmendra Khurana, although popular in the north Indian community, will not matter much for either the Congress or the BJP. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North- Sanjay Nirupam of Congress or Ram Naik of BJP (if Sanjay Nirupam is not fielded from this constituency.)
Mumbai North-East will see an interesting battle between two principal opponents, BJP’s Kirit Somaiya and NCP’s Sanjay Dina Patil. It appears prima facie that Kirit Somaiya has an apparent edge because he has been for a long time the face of this constituency comprising Mankhurd-Shivajinagar, Ghatkopar East, Ghatkopar West, Vikhroli, Bhandup and Mulund. But it would be a mistake underestimating Sanjay Dina Patil. The son of the late MLA Dina Bama Patil, Sanjay Patil, an NCP MLA, is a powerful politician hailing from a rich family of landlords and has excellent rapport among workers and leaders across all political parties. Being the former president of the National Students Union of India (the NSUI) and the current head of the NCP’s youth wing, he can easily mobilize grassroots cadres to rally around him from both the NSUI of Congress and the youth wing of NCP. Since this constituency is part of the seat-sharing agreement between the Congress and the NCP, it would not be difficult to bring both the forces together to work hard for Patil, since there is no Congress candidate contesting. Add to it the fact that since this is the only seat where the NCP would be contesting in the city, the party will throw its full weight behind to ensure the victory of its candidate. Kirit Somaiya will also suffer from those disenchanted cadres of the BJP who wanted Poonam Mahajan, the daughter of the late Pramod Mahajan to be nominated from this constituency. This group might work against the interests of Kirit Somaiya. Also, Shishir Shinde of MNS will make prospects even more difficult for Somaiya by cutting in the vote bank of the BJP, while Ashok Singh of BSP has no standing in this constituency.
My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North-East - Sanjay Dina Patil of NCP.
Mumbai North-West has the Congress in a quandary. Gurudas Kamat, the party’s choice, has backed out and Kripashankar Singh, another strong contender for this constituency, also not interested. That leaves Congress with only Sanjay Nirupam. But he is keen to contest from Mumbai North. If the party prevails and asks Sanjay Nirupam to contest from this constituency, the Congress knows it might well say good-bye to their prospects in the Mumbai North Constituency. If on the other hand, the Congress decides to field a candidate outside of the three veterans mentioned above, the battle will be drawn mainly between Gajanan Kirtikar of Shiv Sena and Abu Asim Azmi of the Samajwadi Party (SP). The Mumbai North-West, which now includes Andheri West, Andheri East, Versova, Goregaon, Dindoshi and Jogeshwari East, is one of the constituencies of the city which has become wide open after the delimitation exercise. In its 2004 version, it was traditional Congress constituency. But now it is a virgin territory again. However, from its current demographic configuration and assembly segments within it, the Shiv Sena appears to have an edge. The party with strong candidate and enthusiastic cadre base is most likely to win. Gajanan Kirtikar is popular with locals here. If the Congress fields a non-descript candidate from here and Congress workers covertly work for Abu Asim Azmi, it will be a close call between Azmi and Kirtikar, with the later having a marginal edge. If the Congress fields Sanjay Nirupam or get either Gurudas Kamat or Kripashankar Singh to agree to contest from this constituency, then Congress will emerge as the winner. But there are lots of ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ and, therefore, my verdict is also like that for Mumbai North-West. Sanjay Nirupam or Kripashankar Singh or Gurudas Kamat of Congress or Gajanan Kirtikar of Shiv Sena if the Congress fields a candidate other than the three of their leaders mentioned above. Or, it could be Abu Azmi by a small margin.
Mumbai North-Central that represents Bandra West, Bandra East, Kalina, Kurla, Chandivali and Vile Parle will see a most easy and predictable battle. The sitting MP Priya Dutt of Congress will face no difficulty against whosoever is the BJP candidate – which is yet undecided – because she has a strong support from powerful Congress MLAs from her parliamentary constituency like Baba Siddiqui, Naseem Khan, Nawab Malik, Ashok Jadhav and Kripashankar Singh. Shilpa Shirodkar of MNS will only help the Congress’ cause further by complicating situation for the BJP candidate. My verdict, therefore, for Mumbai North-Central- Priya Dutt of Congress.
The above analysis is based on candidates who are in the field as of now. At the end of it all, other things being equal, Mumbai is likely to send the following representatives to the 15th Lok Sabha.
Mumbai South - Mohan Rawale (Shiv Sena)
Mumbai South-Central - Eknath Gaikwad (Congress)
Mumbai North- Sanjay Nirupam (Congress) or Ram Naik* (BJP)
(*if Sanjay Nirupam is not contesting from this constituency)
Mumbai North-East – Sanjay Dina Patil (NCP)
Mumbai North-West – Sanjay Nirupam (Congress) or Gajanan Kirtikar* (Shiv Sena) **
(*If Sanjay Nirupam or Kripashanker Singh or Gurudas Kamat not contesting from this constituency. ** Dark Horse – Abu Azmi (SP)
Mumbai North-Central – Priya Dutt (Congress)
And a last rider: The voter is ultimately supreme and more often than not, is unpredictable. So it is possible that like most poll predictions, mine may prove to be off the mark too. In that event, I will come back with explanation, like most pundits do, why it was so.
But don’t forget one thing: Go out and vote on the day voting is taking place in your area. In Mumbai, it is on Thursday, April 30. You can see the all-India schedule in the following link:
http://eci.nic.in/StatisticalReports/LS_2004/Vol_I_LS_2004.pdf
VOTING IS NOT JUST YOUR RIGHT; IT IS YOUR MOST SACRED DUTY
11 comments:
interesting. Your analysis for north and north east seems to be counter intuitive.
I am quite an interested, election analyst.
Would love to exchange notes
Thank you for your comment. I am sorry for the late response. Sure, we will exchange notes as we move forward. yes, in fcat, this general election throughout India is likely to throw results quite contrary to what is expected. Regards.
Any change in opinion now that the candidates have been firmed up and the campaign is firmly underway?
Mehtaji,
In Mumbai North,I feel that Ram Naik now has the edge for the following reasons:
1.Vasai Virar is now taken away and part of palghar.
2.Sanjay Nirupam cannot attract Maharashtrian ,Gujrati votes.
3.Ram Naik is local and known to everyone.
4.Sanjay Nirupam does not enjoy the same popularity as Govinda when the later contested elections last time.
factors that will go against Ram Naik.
1.MNS: SHrish Parker can eat into Ram Naiks vote.a section of former sena voters have turned to MNS.This is a grey area.
2.Low voter turnout will harm Naik,because slum voters,minorities always have higher turnout than buildingwallahs,the later are s-bjp supporters ,ther former congress supporters.low middle class turnout will harm naik.
Mehtaji,
In Mumbai North west,i feel its dead-heat,photo-finish.
factors favoring Gajanan Kirtikar:
1.Local MLA,lives in Goregaon since many decades.
2.He has excellent rapport with people.Goregaon is his stronghold,his friend subhash deasi will work hard from him.there is no discord between ss-bjp.
3.goregaon east,west, jogeshwari east,vile parle are sena - bjp strongholds.
factors against Gajanan Kirtikar.
1. MNS Candidate: Shalini Thakrey,though newcomer will eat into his votes,but she is a weak candidate as compared to bala nandgaokar and shishir shinde.
2. jogeshwari west,andheri east ,west,juhu are north indian and muslim strongholds,here gajanan kirtikar will trail.
Factors favoring Gurudas Kamat.
1.ready made support of north indians,south indians ,religious minorities,slum voters and everyone who does not want to vote for shiv sena.this comprises almost half of the electorate.
Factors against Gurudas Kamat.
1. he is not local, he will not cut any ice with middle class maharashrtian and gujrati voters in goregaon,jogeshwari,vile parle.
as he has no track rcord here.
2.Abu Azmi, SP's tallest muslim leader in maharshtra will eat into his muslim votes big time.
3.he belongs to politically incorect community,neither maharashtrian,gujrati,north indian.
no nobody feels he belongs to them.
Dear Friends:
I am leaving a common response here to all your comments.
Even after Round II of the great Indian electoral race, the situation has become even more unpredictable accross India.
Talking about Mumbai, my field research reveals that Sanjay Nirupam is facing factionalism from within the party. The same goes for Gurudas Kamat. How much damage it will cause to their prospect is still an open question. But overall, the kind of outcome I had thought of still holds good in my opinion.
You are right Tikuji that Mr. Ram Naik could suffer in case of low voter turnout. if one takes a cue from polling percentage so far, it is more likely to be lower among middle class voters. Also, Congress has a strong cadre base in form of NSUI- which is stronger in Mumbai than ABVP. They can be key to mobilizing slum voters which would benefit Congress if Gurudas Kamat and Sanjay Nirupam are able to motivate this important segment of grassroots workers in sufficient measures.
As of today, I will stick with my stated position on Mumbai and will revert back on April 30 after I have more information from my field study between now and April 30.
Regards to all.
Thanks Mr Mehta,
My analysis shows a interesting pattern.national parties will suffer while regional partes will gain in maharashtra.
the shiv sena has an advantage against congress in virtually every contest in the state except the one in dadar and sindhudurg.it is evenly placed against NCP.
NCP is poised to win at least 12-13 this time.congress will lose 3-4 this time.
Shiv sena may emerge the largest party in maharshtra .I expect shiv sena to wing around 15 seats this time.
likely wins:12
mumbai north west- gajanan kirtikar
mumbai south - mohan rawle
thane- vijay chougule
raigad- anant geete
maval- gajanan babar
shirur- adhalrao patil
parbhani-ganesh dudhgaonkar
aurangabad-chandrakant Khaire
osmanabad-ravi gaekwad
buldhana-prataprao jadhav
washim-bhawana gawli
ramtek-krupal tumane
photo finish in the following 7 seats.sena may win 3-4.
kalyan anand paranjpe
sindhudurg- suresh prabhu
hingoli-subhash wankhede
amravati-anandrao adsul
nashik- dattaji gaekwad
shirdi-wakchoure
satara-prataprao jadhav
BJP will win aditional seats of Ram Naik, Gopinath Munde.
but will lose 2-3 in vidharbha and solapur/madha (subhash deshmukh).so it may end up having 11-12
so sena - bjpalliance may end-up with 23- to 27 seats.
Hello to all:
I have traveled in all the six constituencies to visit several polling stations in them. I was quite surprised to see a very low voter turnout in all constituencies in Mumbai. After the Mumbai terror attacks, I was expecting a larger than usual voter turnout but I find it lower than the usual! Of course, one heartening thing was to find more younger and first-time voters coming out to vote. I doubt very much that the polling percentage would cross 40 percent in Mumbai unless the afternoon will see people turning out in sugnifivantly large numbers than in the morning, which is considering the heat factor. For that matter, most parts in India gone to poll today have registered very low polling until 12 p.m. The highest in Darjeeling at 38 percent.
More later.
Namaste Mehtaji,
When can we know about your analysis of mumbai polls.
i am getting very excited and curious!
Tikuji
Dear Tikuji:
I am so sorry for not responding. Like all others, I am not sure this time round. Even political parties which have human, material and network resources are not able to predict trends in different parts of India.
So, it is best to stick to my original logic for Mumbai except one shift. I can sense a voter verdict in favor of Ram Naik and not Sanjay Nirupam, as I had thought. This might be proved wrong as might be my other calculations.
Exit polls will be out soon after the last phase of polling which is underway gets over. Let us see what different exit polls are coming up with.
Overall, my own calculations suggest that the Congress and the BJP will get around 270-280 seats between them with Congress in the lead by narrow margin, a kind of repeat of 2004.
Thanks. Sanjay
Sanjaybhai,
As known, the results are beyond what most expected them to be. But speaking of Mumbai, I think the MNS ate much of the saffron allliance's share.. hence, the coming Assembly elections will be viewed with great interest. Perhaps here, the NCP n MNS shall perform much better than the Congress n BJP/SS.
~ paresh
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